基于ROMS和4DVAR的沿轨与网格化SSH数据同化效果评价   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

周超杰  丁效华  张杰  杨俊刚  马强 《海洋学报(英文版)》2018,37(9):50-58

Remote sensing products are significant in the data assimilation of an ocean model. Considering the resolution and space coverage of different remote sensing data, two types of sea surface height(SSH) product are employed in the assimilation, including the gridded products from AVISO and the original along-track observations used in the generation. To explore their impact on the assimilation results, an experiment focus on the South China Sea(SCS) is conducted based on the Regional Ocean Modeling System(ROMS) and the four-dimensional variational data assimilation(4 DVAR) technology. The comparison with EN4 data set and Argo profile indicates that, the along-track SSH assimilation result presents to be more accurate than the gridded SSH assimilation, because some noises may have been introduced in the merging process. Moreover, the mesoscale eddy detection capability of the assimilation results is analyzed by a vector geometry–based algorithm. It is verified that, the assimilation of the gridded SSH shows superiority in describing the eddy's characteristics, since the complete structure of the ocean surface has been reconstructed by the original data merging.  相似文献   

A new standardized Palmer drought index for hydro‐meteorological use          下载免费PDF全文

Mingwei Ma  Liliang Ren  Fei Yuan  Shanhu Jiang  Yi Liu  Hao Kong  Luyan Gong 《水文研究》2014,28(23):5645-5661

Accepting the concept of standardization introduced by the standardized precipitation index, similar methodologies have been developed to construct some other standardized drought indices such as the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI). In this study, the authors provided deep insight into the SPEI and recognized potential deficiencies/limitations in relating to the climatic water balance it used. By coupling another well‐known Palmer drought severity index (PDSI), we proposed a new standardized Palmer drought index (SPDI) through a moisture departure probabilistic approach, which allows multi‐scalar calculation for accurate temporal and spatial comparison of the hydro‐meteorological conditions of different locations. Using datasets of monthly precipitation, temperature and soil available water capacity, the moisture deficit/surplus was calculated at multiple temporal scales, and a couple of techniques were adopted to adjust corresponding time series to a generalized extreme value distribution out of several candidates. Results of the historical records (1900–2012) for diverse climates by multiple indices showed that the SPDI was highly consistent and correlated with the SPEI and self‐calibrated PDSI at most analysed time scales. Furthermore, a simple experiment of hypothetical temperature and/or precipitation change scenarios also verified the effectiveness of this newly derived SPDI in response to climate change impacts. Being more robust and preferable in spatial consistency and comparability as well as combining the simplicity of calculation with sufficient accounting of the physical nature of water supply and demand relating to droughts, the SPDI is promising to serve as a competent reference and an alternative for drought assessment and monitoring. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A nonstationary extreme value distribution for analysing the cessation of karst spring discharge          下载免费PDF全文

Yan Liu  Yonghong Hao  Yonghui Fan  Tongke Wang  Xueli Huo  Youcun Liu  Tian‐Chyi J. Yeh 《水文研究》2014,28(20):5251-5258

The effects of climate change and population growth in recent decades are leading us to consider their combined and potentially extreme consequences, particularly regarding hydrological processes, which can be modeled using a generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. Most of the GEV models were based on a stationary assumption for hydrological processes, in contrast to the nonstationary reality due to climate change and human activities. In this paper, we present the nonstationary generalized extreme value (NSGEV) distribution and use it to investigate the risk of Niangziguan Springs discharge decreasing to zero. Rather than assuming the location, scale, and shape parameters to be constant as one might do for a stationary GEV distribution analysis, the NSGEV approach can reflect the dynamic processes by defining the GEV parameters as functions of time. Because most of the GEV model is designed to evaluate maxima (e.g. flooding, represented by positive numbers), and spring discharge cessation is a ?minima’, we deduced an NSGEV model for minima by applying opposite numbers, i.e. negative instead of positive numbers. The results of the model application to Niangziguan Springs showed that the probability of zero discharge at Niangziguan Springs will be 1/80 in 2025, and 1/10 in 2030. After 2025, the rate of decrease in spring discharge will accelerate, and the probability that Niangziguan Springs will cease flowing will dramatically increase. The NSGEV model is a robust method for analysing karst spring discharge. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

中国古典叙事文学的时空叙事数字模型研究——以《李娃传》为例     

马昭仪  何捷  刘帅帅 《地球信息科学学报》2020,22(5):967-977

文学制图作为一种再现文学空间的文学地理研究方法,能将历时性叙事与共时性空间进行相互映射,但是过往的实践案例往往受限于单一的研究视角,忽略了二者内部的整体性互动关系及其与外部时空的联系。为了促使文本中的线性叙事与并置空间作为整体概念而服务于当代的文学制图实践活动,本文依据巴赫金文学时空体中的历史时空、文本时空和读者时空的概念提出了一个叙事时空数字模型,并以唐传奇小说《李娃传》为文学制图实践案例,可视化再现了这个以唐长安为中心的爱情故事。在融合了计算叙事和地理叙事研究路径的基础上,本文对叙事文本所蕴含的顺序的、多维的和背景性的信息,进行了语义提取、语义的时空循环映射和“时间—时空—空间”的叙事再现,从而呈现叙事的语言线性、体验性和意义性的特征。该模型以开放的和可对话的框架帮助当代人理解古典文学叙事及其地方性历史语境,同时将拓展从宏观、微观的角度以沉浸式方式对地方（place）进行叙事的潜力。  相似文献   

“一带一路”成员国居民健康状况的时空统计分析     

郭文杰  秦昆  毛宗福  王一喆  汪瑶  许刚  马露 《地球信息科学学报》2020,22(5):1133-1141

健康是影响不同国家和地区发展的关键因素,全面了解“一带一路”成员国的居民健康状况,是探讨“一带一路”成员国之间健康医疗合作的重要基础。本文选择了4个代表性的健康状况指标（出生期望寿命、总生育率、过早非传染性疾病死亡率和结核病发病率）,利用Moran's I指数、Getis-Ord G指数对“一带一路”135个成员国的健康状况进行时空统计,分析了健康状况的空间相关性和空间分布模式,研究了健康状况的时空格局。研究发现：① 2000—2016年“一带一路”大部分成员国的各项健康状况指标均朝着改善和优化方向发展;健康状况指标均呈现显著的正空间自相关性;② 总体而言,在“一带一路”成员国中,欧洲国家的居民健康状况最好;南北美洲和大洋洲国家的居民健康状况良好;亚洲国家的居民健康状况总体良好,但东南亚部分国家的结核病发病率较高;非洲国家的居民健康状况虽有明显改善,但仍处于较低状态。因此,“一带一路”成员国应进一步加强健康医疗合作,共同推动健康丝绸之路的发展。  相似文献   

鄂尔多斯盆地北部东胜地区侏罗系—白垩系钻孔数据库与三维地质模型          下载免费PDF全文

张天福  张云  程先钰  孙立新  程银行  周小希  王少轶  马海林  鲁超 《中国地质》2020,47(S1):220-230

随着砂岩型铀矿找矿工作的进一步开展，其对以往钻孔资料集成应用的需求尤为迫切。在煤田钻孔资料“二次开发利用”和“煤铀兼探”新方法、新思路的指导下，通过采集东胜地区钻孔资料属性数据，按照统一的标准和要求，将煤田、铀矿等类型的重要钻孔资料，通过整理、扫描、数据类型转换、录入和集成，建成了东胜地区侏罗系—白垩系综合钻孔数据库，实现了对多源钻孔数据的统一管理。该数据库共包含3个Access数据库和相应的成果图件。每个Access数据库均包含钻孔基本信息表、综合柱状分层表、岩性描述分层表、地层名称及代号表、地层颜色表、测井曲线数据表、测井曲线配置表和钻孔弯曲度测量数据表等8张数据表，分别详细记录了地质编录岩性信息、地层分层信息、岩石颜色信息、测井曲线信息、水文分层信息、钻孔样品采样信息、弯曲度测量信息等。通过应用实践，该钻孔数据库成果可实现连井剖面、含煤含铀目的层的顶底板标高、地层等厚图、砂体等厚图及含砂率图等重要基础地质图件的快速生成，从而提高数据的使用效率并为铀矿勘查及研究工作提供重要数据基础。  相似文献   

山东大尹格庄金矿床深部三维定量成矿预测     

陈进  毛先成  邓浩 《地球学报》2020,41(2):179-191

大尹格庄金矿是胶西北招平断裂带中段的大型金矿床,但随着逐渐的开采其保有资源量不断下降,急需在矿床的深边部区域开展接续资源找矿工作。本文以大尹格庄金矿为研究对象,以区域成矿理论和找矿勘查模型为指导,利用三维地质建模技术构建了相关地质体的三维模型,在此基础上,采用定量化的方法提取地质体与成矿相关的控矿因素指标和矿化指标,并建立了三维定量成矿预测模型,并应用该模型圈定了3个找矿靶区。研究表明,该方法能够适用于大中型矿山的深边部找矿工作,其三维及定量化的预测结果能够为后续的勘探及开采工作提供重要参考。  相似文献   

城市地质学基础理论探讨     

林良俊  马震  郭旭  Zhenya Zhang  李亚民 《中国地质》2020,47(6):1668-1676

城市地质有近百年的研究历史，学科研究取得了很大的进展，但是总体上看，学科性质存在较多的争论，城市地质学基础理论难于满足现代城市管理的需求，无法为城市高质量发展提供系统完整的地学解决方案。本文系统梳理了国内外城市地质的发展历程和研究进展，进一步明确了城市地质学的学科性质，运用系统理论提出城市地质系统的概念，并基于这一概念，清晰地界定了城市地质学的研究对象，阐述了现代城市地质学的研究内容和技术框架，为今后形成完善的城市地质学理论体系提供研究基础。  相似文献   

东营凹陷史112区块沙三中亚段深水重力流体系精细刻画及在开发中的意义     

辛博  刘景彦  陈薪凯  马骁  仲昭 《现代地质》2020,34(2):321-332

深水重力流作为一种重要的、特殊类型的沉积体系,自发现以来就得到了学术界的广泛关注,并在油气勘探中日益受到重视。东营凹陷古近系沙三中段发育深水重力流体系,综合地震、岩心、测录井等资料,对郝家油田史112区块深水重力流体系的沉积类型、特征及在不同层序中的发育演化进行了精细刻画,总结了该区重力流沉积模式,为开发区储层预测提供重要参考。研究表明,本区深水重力流体系发育于三级层序的高位域,从下至上可划分出4个四级层序(SQQ^1-4),主要发育滑塌沉积、碎屑流沉积和浊流沉积3种成因类型,可识别出12种岩相组合。四级层序$\mathrm{SQQ}_{3}^{2}$时期重力流规模较小,$\mathrm{SQQ}_{3}^{3}$时期随着东营三角洲向湖盆中心推进,重力流规模扩大。滑塌沉积主要发育在三角洲前缘或前三角洲斜坡根部,在滑塌沉积前方形成碎屑流沉积,碎屑流向前搬运的过程中,逐渐转化成浊流沉积。三角洲前缘及前三角洲的浊流和碎屑流是开发井区进一步寻找储层的有利部位。  相似文献   

华北板块南缘中段中上三叠统软沉积变形构造的发现及其地质意义     

全晓园  刘池洋  张龙  张东东  王建强  马奂奂  冯琦  翟光麾 《现代地质》2020,34(2):333-344

豫西地区中上三叠统主要出露在济源、义马、伊川和南召一带。印支期秦岭造山运动控制和影响着邻区中上三叠统盆地属性和沉积地层展布。通过观察研究区野外露头剖面,发现中上三叠统发育一系列典型的软沉积变形构造,包括液化底辟、枕状构造、液化柱、液化卷曲变形、负载、球-枕、火焰状构造、液化角砾岩。这些软沉积变形在垂向上表现出明显的复现性,在侧向上表现为沿地层连续展布,表明该时期研究区内地层受到频繁强烈的地震影响。通过对这些软沉积现象的识别和形成机制解释,判定其触发因素为秦岭造山过程中伴生的地震。区内地层中震积岩的存在即是对秦岭造山过程中构造活动的响应。  相似文献